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Red46
916310.3
905015.3
946116.1
Blue26
91968.3
91657.5
917810.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412401030506070804626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9461
#19
16.11.2
14.215.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.9
End2.3
red by 5.6
9178
#44
10.50.3
8.18.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End0.8
Second
9050
#21
15.31.2
12.613.8
Auto7.0
Teleop7.8
End0.6
red by 7.0
9196
#45
8.30.3
7.88.1
Auto2.6
Teleop5.0
End0.7
Third
9163
#40
10.31.2
8.39.5
Auto6.9
Teleop2.2
End1.1
red by 2.8
9165
#53
7.50.3
7.57.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed