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Red60
920019.0
919917.1
888217.0
Blue44
960317.8
948413.8
80669.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384302060806044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9200
#14
19.02.7
13.916.6
Auto6.2
Teleop11.5
End1.2
red by 1.3
9603
#26
17.80.4
16.617.0
Auto5.8
Teleop11.2
End0.8
Second
17.12.7
12.715.4
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End0.9
red by 3.3
13.80.4
12.713.2
Auto6.9
Teleop4.7
End2.2
Third
8882
#25
17.02.7
8.811.5
Auto6.9
Teleop10.0
End0.1
red by 8.1
8066
#23
9.00.4
8.99.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed