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Red51
91958.8
960418.8
921911.4
Blue22
96578.7
640410.6
916211.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3232202530354045505122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.82.4
14.917.3
Auto8.7
Teleop9.7
End0.4
red by 7.6
9162
#24
11.30.7
9.68.9
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End1.1
Second
9219
#28
11.42.4
8.611.0
Auto2.6
Teleop8.3
End0.4
red by 0.8
6404
#32
10.60.7
10.19.4
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End1.6
Third
9195
#46
8.82.4
5.78.1
Auto4.4
Teleop3.9
End0.5
red by 0.1
9657
#41
8.70.7
9.08.2
Auto4.8
Teleop3.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed