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Red37
90499.3
911010.0
756522.9
Blue41
756710.9
917518.2
908515.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4552204060803741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7565
#20
22.90.4
20.920.5
Auto7.6
Teleop14.6
End0.7
red by 4.7
18.20.5
18.918.3
Auto4.5
Teleop12.1
End1.6
Second
9110
#47
10.00.5
10.510.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End1.4
blue by 5.0
15.00.5
15.815.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.6
Third
9049
#50
9.30.5
10.29.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End0.8
blue by 1.6
7567
#42
10.90.5
11.611.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed