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Red3
58009.6
Blue13
99804.2
904713.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22110406080100313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9.60.0
9.69.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End0.6
blue by 3.8
13.50.0
13.513.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.2
End1.2
Second
9.10.0
9.19.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End1.0
red by 4.9
4.20.0
4.24.2
Auto1.7
Teleop2.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody odds9%Melody odds
Ensemble
8%Ensemble odds12%Ensemble odds