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Red123
432217.5
265930.2
29435.7
Blue104
114833.4
647914.1
153831.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90844060100120140123104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#2
35.70.8
34.835.6
Auto11.3
Teleop21.2
End3.2
red by 2.3
33.40.6
32.733.3
Auto8.9
Teleop20.9
End3.6
Second
30.20.8
29.230.0
Auto10.8
Teleop15.6
End3.8
blue by 1.0
31.10.6
30.531.1
Auto13.0
Teleop17.2
End1.0
Third
4322
#23
17.50.8
16.517.4
Auto8.0
Teleop9.0
End0.4
red by 3.4
6479
#25
14.10.6
13.414.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End1.0