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Red58
607218.8
513721.0
254318.2
Blue35
401412.3
606017.3
39938.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543701002003004005006005835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5137
#14
21.00.7
18.018.8
Auto8.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
red by 3.6
6060
#27
17.30.5
13.012.6
Auto6.9
Teleop8.5
End2.0
Second
6072
#13
18.81.0
12.313.3
Auto7.1
Teleop11.2
End0.5
red by 6.4
4014
#37
12.30.5
13.012.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End1.1
Third
2543
#22
18.20.7
16.617.3
Auto6.8
Teleop9.9
End1.6
red by 10.2
3993
#33
8.10.6
9.18.6
Auto5.3
Teleop1.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed