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Red59
876821.1
6919.2
29435.7
Blue79
153831.1
151523.7
856914.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52572030407080905979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#2
35.70.8
25.025.8
Auto11.3
Teleop21.2
End3.2
red by 4.6
31.11.9
22.324.2
Auto13.0
Teleop17.2
End1.0
Second
8768
#26
21.10.8
16.717.5
Auto3.6
Teleop15.0
End2.5
blue by 2.7
1515
#18
23.71.4
20.521.9
Auto10.1
Teleop12.2
End1.5
Third
691
#24
9.20.9
5.76.7
Auto1.5
Teleop6.6
End1.1
blue by 5.3
8569
#30
14.52.4
8.010.3
Auto6.7
Teleop6.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed