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Red47
412318.6
607218.8
58573.4
Blue49
183613.8
768215.9
39927.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374802060801004749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6072
#13
18.81.0
13.314.2
Auto7.1
Teleop11.2
End0.5
blue by 8.5
399
#12
27.30.5
19.820.2
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End2.9
Second
4123
#15
18.60.9
15.216.0
Auto7.2
Teleop9.8
End1.6
red by 2.7
7682
#21
15.90.8
9.810.6
Auto6.4
Teleop9.5
End0.1
Third
5857
#35
3.40.9
6.77.6
Auto1.1
Teleop1.9
End0.3
blue by 10.4
1836
#19
13.80.6
12.513.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed