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Red59
441921.9
647914.1
183613.8
Blue57
258426.0
607218.8
856914.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405502060801005957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.91.6
12.714.3
Auto8.4
Teleop12.3
End1.3
blue by 4.1
26.00.6
23.123.7
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End3.6
Second
6479
#25
14.11.4
12.013.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End1.0
blue by 4.7
6072
#13
18.80.7
14.214.9
Auto7.1
Teleop11.2
End0.5
Third
1836
#19
13.81.6
13.114.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.0
End0.2
blue by 0.8
8569
#30
14.51.0
10.311.4
Auto6.7
Teleop6.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned