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Red45
58573.4
744422.7
265930.2
Blue85
29435.7
114833.4
513721.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52822040601001201404585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.5
23.022.5
Auto10.8
Teleop15.6
End3.8
blue by 5.6
294
#2
35.70.9
25.926.9
Auto11.3
Teleop21.2
End3.2
Second
7444
#16
22.70.5
20.019.5
Auto10.3
Teleop9.9
End2.5
blue by 10.7
33.40.9
25.726.7
Auto8.9
Teleop20.9
End3.6
Third
5857
#35
3.40.5
7.77.2
Auto1.1
Teleop1.9
End0.3
blue by 17.6
5137
#14
21.00.9
19.220.1
Auto8.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsEarned