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Red45
856914.5
254318.2
630514.4
Blue90
39927.3
96816.1
265823.5
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48642040801004590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2543
#22
18.20.3
17.417.1
Auto6.8
Teleop9.9
End1.6
blue by 9.0
399
#12
27.32.3
21.423.7
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End2.9
Second
8569
#30
14.50.6
12.311.7
Auto6.7
Teleop6.0
End1.9
blue by 9.0
2658
#20
23.52.3
21.423.6
Auto7.5
Teleop13.6
End2.4
Third
6305
#36
14.40.3
15.415.1
Auto5.4
Teleop8.0
End0.9
blue by 1.7
968
#17
16.12.3
13.315.6
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsMissed