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Red65
265823.5
265930.2
94716.3
Blue41
412318.6
80063.9
744422.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions674202060801001206541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.2
23.423.6
Auto10.8
Teleop15.6
End3.8
red by 7.5
7444
#16
22.70.0
18.718.7
Auto10.3
Teleop9.9
End2.5
Second
2658
#20
23.50.2
23.623.8
Auto7.5
Teleop13.6
End2.4
red by 4.9
4123
#15
18.60.0
19.019.0
Auto7.2
Teleop9.8
End1.6
Third
9471
#38
6.30.3
10.310.6
Auto5.6
Teleop0.8
End-0.1
red by 2.4
8006
#39
3.90.0
2.93.0
Auto4.2
Teleop-0.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
55%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed