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Red74
242925.8
647914.1
665724.5
Blue26
768215.9
39938.1
96669.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions723902060801001207426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.5
24.024.5
Auto9.5
Teleop14.4
End1.9
red by 9.8
7682
#21
15.91.4
17.416.1
Auto6.4
Teleop9.5
End0.1
Second
24.50.5
25.325.8
Auto11.6
Teleop10.8
End2.1
red by 15.3
9666
#29
9.31.5
9.27.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End1.0
Third
6479
#25
14.10.5
12.312.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End1.0
red by 6.0
3993
#33
8.11.4
12.511.1
Auto5.3
Teleop1.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed