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Red48
856914.5
76077.5
265823.5
Blue85
767315.2
242925.8
545828.0
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4576020601001204885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2658
#20
23.50.3
22.321.9
Auto7.5
Teleop13.6
End2.4
blue by 4.4
28.00.7
26.427.1
Auto9.5
Teleop15.2
End3.2
Second
8569
#30
14.50.5
14.614.1
Auto6.7
Teleop6.0
End1.9
blue by 11.3
25.80.7
24.124.8
Auto9.5
Teleop14.4
End1.9
Third
7607
#31
7.50.3
7.37.0
Auto4.1
Teleop2.7
End0.7
blue by 7.7
7673
#11
15.20.7
14.415.0
Auto6.8
Teleop7.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned