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Red56
76077.5
242925.8
768215.9
Blue54
513721.0
401412.3
258426.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49700204060801001205654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.5
24.825.3
Auto9.5
Teleop14.4
End1.9
blue by 0.3
26.00.4
26.426.0
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End3.6
Second
7682
#21
15.90.6
14.815.4
Auto6.4
Teleop9.5
End0.1
blue by 5.0
5137
#14
21.00.4
21.420.9
Auto8.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Third
7607
#31
7.50.5
7.07.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.7
End0.7
blue by 4.8
4014
#37
12.30.4
12.812.3
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed