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Red33
24047.9
441921.9
630514.4
Blue71
665724.5
265823.5
767315.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3760020801001203371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.90.3
13.012.7
Auto8.4
Teleop12.3
End1.3
blue by 2.6
24.50.6
23.123.8
Auto11.6
Teleop10.8
End2.1
Second
6305
#36
14.40.2
15.815.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.0
End0.9
blue by 9.2
2658
#20
23.50.6
19.820.4
Auto7.5
Teleop13.6
End2.4
Third
2404
#34
7.90.4
7.77.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End0.1
blue by 7.3
7673
#11
15.20.7
8.79.4
Auto6.8
Teleop7.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsEarned