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Red89
151523.7
96816.1
545828.0
Blue96
39927.3
744422.7
665724.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72822040601001201408996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.5
27.528.0
Auto9.5
Teleop15.2
End3.2
red by 0.7
399
#12
27.30.5
26.827.3
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End2.9
Second
1515
#18
23.70.5
23.323.8
Auto10.1
Teleop12.2
End1.5
blue by 0.8
24.50.5
24.124.6
Auto11.6
Teleop10.8
End2.1
Third
968
#17
16.10.5
15.616.1
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End0.6
blue by 6.6
7444
#16
22.70.5
22.222.7
Auto10.3
Teleop9.9
End2.5