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Red102
364723.8
688517.9
519938.9
Blue89
999924.3
248531.8
998818.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions917105015020010289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.90.3
38.538.9
Auto9.5
Teleop23.0
End6.3
red by 7.1
31.80.2
31.531.8
Auto10.9
Teleop18.3
End2.6
Second
3647
#18
23.80.3
23.523.8
Auto5.1
Teleop17.3
End1.4
blue by 0.5
24.30.3
24.024.3
Auto7.9
Teleop11.6
End4.8
Third
6885
#26
17.90.3
17.517.9
Auto6.0
Teleop10.9
End1.0
blue by 0.3
9988
#27
18.20.3
17.918.2
Auto7.9
Teleop9.2
End1.2