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Red52
513726.5
999810.9
312820.9
Blue67
55149.4
998818.2
473836.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714401001502005267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.1
21.020.8
Auto10.9
Teleop14.6
End1.1
blue by 10.1
36.61.2
36.137.3
Auto11.5
Teleop22.6
End2.6
Second
3128
#22
20.90.1
26.526.4
Auto6.5
Teleop12.5
End1.9
red by 2.7
9988
#27
18.22.0
6.68.6
Auto7.9
Teleop9.2
End1.2
Third
9998
#33
10.90.2
6.66.4
Auto2.2
Teleop8.9
End-0.2
red by 1.5
5514
#13
9.41.2
6.47.6
Auto4.9
Teleop3.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed