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Red37
55149.4
547414.4
312820.9
Blue28
157215.8
80062.5
265818.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494201001502002503003503728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#22
20.90.5
20.620.0
Auto6.5
Teleop12.5
End1.9
red by 2.2
2658
#28
18.70.9
17.316.4
Auto9.2
Teleop8.6
End1.0
Second
5474
#23
14.40.5
14.213.7
Auto7.1
Teleop5.0
End2.3
blue by 1.4
1572
#24
15.80.9
16.415.4
Auto3.6
Teleop11.4
End0.8
Third
5514
#13
9.40.5
8.07.5
Auto4.9
Teleop3.2
End1.3
red by 6.9
8006
#31
2.50.9
4.03.1
Auto2.1
Teleop0.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed