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Red49
271018.7
688517.9
656023.3
Blue41
374912.9
265818.7
416015.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions664902040801001201401604941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6560
#10
23.30.5
24.123.6
Auto7.4
Teleop13.2
End2.7
red by 4.6
2658
#28
18.70.7
17.016.3
Auto9.2
Teleop8.6
End1.0
Second
2710
#12
18.70.5
18.017.5
Auto7.2
Teleop10.5
End0.9
red by 3.5
4160
#16
15.10.7
14.613.9
Auto7.3
Teleop5.4
End2.4
Third
6885
#26
17.90.5
14.413.9
Auto6.0
Teleop10.9
End1.0
red by 4.9
3749
#21
12.90.7
14.613.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed