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Red76
889113.2
999924.3
153833.8
Blue61
811916.9
513726.5
99894.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71490204060801001201401607661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.80.8
31.832.5
Auto9.9
Teleop21.7
End2.2
red by 7.3
26.50.7
25.826.5
Auto10.9
Teleop14.6
End1.1
Second
24.31.1
18.920.1
Auto7.9
Teleop11.6
End4.8
red by 7.5
8119
#17
16.90.7
16.016.7
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End0.3
Third
13.20.8
13.414.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End1.6
red by 8.3
9989
#32
4.91.0
3.94.9
Auto0.4
Teleop4.6
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed