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Red128
167858.4
116018.2
25457.6
Blue126
594056.4
58140.0
145818.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154126100200128126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.3
59.158.7
Auto20.6
Teleop29.9
End7.8
red by 2.0
56.40.0
57.057.1
Auto17.1
Teleop32.1
End7.3
Second
254
#1
57.60.3
58.358.0
Auto17.0
Teleop33.3
End7.3
red by 17.6
581
#7
40.00.0
40.740.7
Auto16.0
Teleop19.2
End4.9
Third
1160
#48
18.20.3
18.918.6
Auto5.0
Teleop12.0
End1.3
blue by 0.6
1458
#47
18.80.0
19.419.5
Auto8.8
Teleop9.3
End0.7