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Red42
425520.0
7518.8
641822.7
Blue102
228828.1
541936.5
661936.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3910605015042102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418
#24
22.70.1
18.618.5
Auto9.4
Teleop11.6
End1.7
blue by 14.0
6619
#10
36.70.9
29.430.3
Auto13.0
Teleop22.0
End1.6
Second
4255
#30
20.00.1
15.415.3
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End1.2
blue by 16.4
36.50.9
33.634.5
Auto10.3
Teleop20.2
End5.9
Third
751
#31
8.80.1
9.49.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End1.4
blue by 19.3
2288
#11
28.10.9
25.025.9
Auto10.2
Teleop15.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsEarned