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Red21
920210.2
60599.1
91117.8
Blue81
527420.6
469832.2
64925.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1682040601001201401602181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9202
#59
10.20.2
8.88.6
Auto2.5
Teleop7.3
End0.5
blue by 22.0
32.20.7
26.727.4
Auto13.2
Teleop13.9
End5.1
Second
6059
#54
9.10.1
8.48.3
Auto4.7
Teleop3.4
End1.0
blue by 16.3
649
#13
25.40.7
21.622.3
Auto10.4
Teleop14.2
End0.8
Third
9111
#40
7.80.1
5.55.4
Auto1.2
Teleop6.0
End0.6
blue by 12.8
5274
#20
20.60.7
18.519.2
Auto5.9
Teleop11.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsEarned