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Red44
550722.0
415914.9
145818.8
Blue46
325629.2
285421.7
97816.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496202040801001204446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5507
#14
22.00.1
17.217.1
Auto8.3
Teleop9.0
End4.8
blue by 7.1
3256
#17
29.20.8
28.627.8
Auto11.2
Teleop15.7
End2.3
Second
1458
#47
18.80.1
19.719.6
Auto8.8
Teleop9.3
End0.7
blue by 2.8
2854
#23
21.70.9
17.016.1
Auto8.0
Teleop12.2
End1.4
Third
4159
#21
14.90.1
8.78.6
Auto2.5
Teleop11.3
End1.1
red by 8.2
9781
#38
6.71.4
9.07.6
Auto4.9
Teleop0.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed