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Red36
784011.6
74015.8
598514.7
Blue32
681411.9
903813.9
418612.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362602060803632

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5985
#27
14.70.3
12.813.1
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End1.5
red by 0.9
9038
#22
13.90.5
8.89.3
Auto8.3
Teleop5.3
End0.2
Second
7840
#55
11.60.3
9.19.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End1.4
blue by 0.9
4186
#41
12.40.5
9.49.8
Auto5.5
Teleop3.8
End3.2
Third
7401
#52
5.80.5
9.910.4
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End0.8
blue by 6.1
6814
#42
11.90.5
6.77.2
Auto3.8
Teleop7.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed