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Red39
527420.6
497311.3
947012.6
Blue71
228828.1
766717.2
741918.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions447002060801001203971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5274
#20
20.60.6
19.218.6
Auto5.9
Teleop11.8
End2.8
blue by 7.5
2288
#11
28.10.4
25.926.3
Auto10.2
Teleop15.5
End2.3
Second
9470
#43
12.60.6
14.714.1
Auto7.8
Teleop4.4
End0.5
blue by 5.7
7419
#37
18.30.4
19.119.5
Auto6.9
Teleop10.0
End1.4
Third
4973
#49
11.30.6
9.28.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.9
End2.5
blue by 5.9
7667
#28
17.20.4
15.215.6
Auto6.4
Teleop9.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed81%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned