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Red127
64925.4
25457.6
285421.7
Blue48
95199.9
954515.0
325629.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10846015020012748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
57.62.3
49.351.6
Auto17.0
Teleop33.3
End7.3
red by 28.5
3256
#17
29.20.1
27.627.6
Auto11.2
Teleop15.7
End2.3
Second
649
#13
25.42.3
21.924.2
Auto10.4
Teleop14.2
End0.8
red by 10.4
9545
#26
15.00.1
12.412.3
Auto7.8
Teleop6.3
End0.9
Third
2854
#23
21.72.3
19.521.8
Auto8.0
Teleop12.2
End1.4
red by 11.8
9519
#60
9.90.1
9.18.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.0
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
57%Ensemble oddsEarned28%Ensemble oddsMissed