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Red82
80457.9
167858.4
947012.6
Blue52
641822.7
490415.4
170015.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions894202060801001201408252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.3
51.952.2
Auto20.6
Teleop29.9
End7.8
red by 35.7
6418
#24
22.70.6
19.520.0
Auto9.4
Teleop11.6
End1.7
Second
9470
#43
12.60.3
14.114.5
Auto7.8
Teleop4.4
End0.5
blue by 2.8
4904
#34
15.40.6
10.110.6
Auto4.0
Teleop9.9
End1.5
Third
8045
#32
7.90.6
8.99.5
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
blue by 7.5
1700
#25
15.40.6
14.114.7
Auto6.4
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed