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Red59
228828.1
598514.7
815923.2
Blue113
304526.3
960929.4
25457.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions661265010015020059113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2288
#11
28.10.5
27.727.2
Auto10.2
Teleop15.5
End2.3
blue by 29.6
254
#1
57.60.4
55.756.1
Auto17.0
Teleop33.3
End7.3
Second
8159
#29
23.20.5
24.223.7
Auto11.1
Teleop10.4
End1.7
blue by 6.2
29.40.4
26.326.7
Auto8.7
Teleop19.1
End1.6
Third
5985
#27
14.70.5
15.014.4
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End1.5
blue by 11.5
3045
#15
26.30.4
25.025.4
Auto9.3
Teleop15.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed81%Ensemble oddsEarned