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Red73
145818.8
527420.6
490415.4
Blue41
713714.0
87937.8
815923.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46474050556065707341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5274
#20
20.62.1
16.418.5
Auto5.9
Teleop11.8
End2.8
blue by 2.6
8159
#29
23.20.1
25.725.6
Auto11.1
Teleop10.4
End1.7
Second
1458
#47
18.82.5
17.219.7
Auto8.8
Teleop9.3
End0.7
red by 4.8
7137
#36
14.00.1
12.612.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End2.7
Third
4904
#34
15.42.5
8.310.8
Auto4.0
Teleop9.9
End1.5
red by 7.6
8793
#50
7.80.1
4.13.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed