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Red94
11441.8
598514.7
541936.5
Blue105
469832.2
64925.4
885222.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10480406012014016094105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#4
41.80.1
41.341.3
Auto11.3
Teleop26.3
End4.2
red by 9.6
32.20.7
30.731.4
Auto13.2
Teleop13.9
End5.1
Second
36.50.1
35.936.0
Auto10.3
Teleop20.2
End5.9
red by 11.1
649
#13
25.40.7
23.824.5
Auto10.4
Teleop14.2
End0.8
Third
5985
#27
14.70.1
14.214.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End1.5
blue by 7.3
8852
#16
22.00.7
20.521.2
Auto9.3
Teleop10.6
End2.1