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Red125
84136.9
97231.5
641822.7
Blue105
541936.5
598514.7
11441.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981036080120140160125105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#12
36.90.4
36.236.6
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End2.4
blue by 4.9
114
#4
41.80.2
41.741.8
Auto11.3
Teleop26.3
End4.2
Second
972
#8
31.50.4
30.831.2
Auto9.4
Teleop19.6
End2.5
blue by 5.0
36.50.2
36.336.5
Auto10.3
Teleop20.2
End5.9
Third
6418
#24
22.70.4
22.022.4
Auto9.4
Teleop11.6
End1.7
red by 7.9
5985
#27
14.70.2
14.614.7
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End1.5