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Red44
85214.8
583515.0
622017.4
Blue99
441439.8
388229.3
427621.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions519701504499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6220
#37
17.40.7
23.322.6
Auto3.0
Teleop12.9
End1.5
blue by 22.3
4414
#13
39.80.8
39.039.8
Auto14.0
Teleop21.6
End4.1
Second
5835
#26
15.00.5
16.816.3
Auto7.3
Teleop6.6
End1.1
blue by 14.3
3882
#12
29.30.8
26.226.9
Auto9.8
Teleop17.8
End1.7
Third
8521
#41
4.80.5
11.410.9
Auto0.9
Teleop2.8
End1.1
blue by 16.5
4276
#18
21.40.8
17.218.0
Auto7.6
Teleop12.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsMissed73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned71%Ensemble oddsMissed