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Red104
212232.6
441526.6
210233.3
Blue73
961517.2
68722.4
519940.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868905010015020010473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#10
33.31.4
25.026.4
Auto9.6
Teleop22.0
End1.7
blue by 7.0
40.31.0
38.537.6
Auto9.8
Teleop25.9
End4.7
Second
32.61.4
27.729.2
Auto8.4
Teleop22.4
End1.8
red by 10.2
687
#28
22.41.0
25.024.0
Auto9.6
Teleop12.3
End0.5
Third
4415
#16
26.61.4
25.927.4
Auto10.4
Teleop15.5
End0.7
red by 9.4
9615
#32
17.21.0
17.016.1
Auto8.1
Teleop8.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned