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Red107
312829.3
210233.3
59728.3
Blue67
513723.7
583515.0
927113.4
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9154020408010012014016010767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#10
33.31.9
27.729.6
Auto9.6
Teleop22.0
End1.7
red by 9.6
5137
#34
23.70.9
21.422.3
Auto9.1
Teleop14.4
End0.3
Second
29.31.9
24.226.2
Auto9.4
Teleop17.8
End2.1
red by 14.3
5835
#26
15.00.9
18.719.6
Auto7.3
Teleop6.6
End1.1
Third
597
#20
28.31.9
26.027.9
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End2.1
red by 14.9
9271
#42
13.40.9
13.013.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed