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Red79
441526.6
414124.0
39919.1
Blue91
441923.6
715736.1
388229.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions799940601201401601807991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#16
26.60.6
26.626.0
Auto10.4
Teleop15.5
End0.7
blue by 9.4
36.10.3
35.435.6
Auto14.2
Teleop20.9
End1.0
Second
4141
#33
24.00.6
25.925.3
Auto7.0
Teleop15.6
End1.4
blue by 5.3
3882
#12
29.30.3
29.129.4
Auto9.8
Teleop17.8
End1.7
Third
399
#39
19.10.6
21.220.6
Auto5.7
Teleop12.1
End1.4
blue by 4.5
4419
#17
23.60.3
22.722.9
Auto6.9
Teleop15.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed