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Red130
407921.2
945228.5
35947.5
Blue104
388229.3
699535.0
210233.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94108050150200130104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
47.52.9
43.946.8
Auto14.8
Teleop27.5
End5.2
red by 12.5
35.00.5
33.934.5
Auto11.8
Teleop20.6
End2.6
Second
9452
#29
28.52.9
24.727.5
Auto10.6
Teleop17.7
End0.2
blue by 4.8
2102
#10
33.30.5
32.533.0
Auto9.6
Teleop22.0
End1.7
Third
4079
#31
21.22.9
18.321.2
Auto6.3
Teleop14.9
End-0.0
blue by 8.1
3882
#12
29.30.5
29.429.9
Auto9.8
Teleop17.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsEarned