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Red71
704221.3
961517.2
119728.2
Blue91
473836.2
699535.0
888813.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58972040801201401607191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1197
#25
28.20.8
22.823.6
Auto13.6
Teleop12.5
End2.0
blue by 8.0
4738
#15
36.20.5
36.637.2
Auto12.6
Teleop21.1
End2.5
Second
7042
#27
21.30.8
21.822.6
Auto7.7
Teleop11.2
End2.4
blue by 13.7
35.00.5
30.531.0
Auto11.8
Teleop20.6
End2.6
Third
9615
#32
17.21.1
12.513.6
Auto8.1
Teleop8.4
End0.7
red by 4.1
8888
#36
13.10.7
16.016.7
Auto6.4
Teleop5.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsEarned