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Red48
570021.2
25314.4
91438.3
Blue30
264315.3
876819.9
46436.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544402060801001204830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.3
21.521.2
Auto12.5
Teleop7.7
End0.9
red by 1.3
8768
#27
19.90.8
20.219.4
Auto4.4
Teleop13.5
End2.1
Second
253
#22
14.40.3
16.616.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End3.0
blue by 0.9
2643
#11
15.30.8
15.014.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End0.0
Third
9143
#24
8.30.3
9.79.4
Auto5.8
Teleop1.4
End1.1
red by 2.1
4643
#46
6.20.8
5.44.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed