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Red53
228820.0
91258.2
142521.8
Blue75
167842.1
348211.9
841B20.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566901001505375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#16
21.80.6
24.023.4
Auto13.3
Teleop5.2
End3.3
blue by 20.3
42.10.7
34.535.2
Auto17.3
Teleop20.1
End4.6
Second
2288
#12
20.00.6
19.018.4
Auto6.9
Teleop9.8
End3.3
blue by 0.9
841B
#14
20.91.1
13.114.2
Auto8.1
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Third
9125
#31
8.20.6
9.18.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.7
End0.4
blue by 3.7
3482
#30
11.90.7
13.414.0
Auto7.3
Teleop4.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned38%Ensemble oddsMissed