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Red29
741915.6
879310.2
7016.5
Blue82
545820.8
397022.8
325715.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336802060801001201401602982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7419
#38
15.60.4
18.318.0
Auto6.9
Teleop7.1
End1.6
blue by 7.1
22.81.6
24.225.8
Auto7.9
Teleop13.4
End1.4
Second
8793
#19
10.20.4
5.24.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End1.6
blue by 10.6
20.81.6
19.721.3
Auto7.0
Teleop10.3
End3.5
Third
701
#43
6.50.4
10.710.4
Auto4.5
Teleop0.7
End1.3
blue by 9.1
3257
#33
15.61.6
13.715.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned