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Red64
397022.8
196714.3
207329.3
Blue32
348211.9
940012.3
570021.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67470204060801001201406432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.1
24.724.8
Auto10.4
Teleop16.3
End2.6
red by 8.1
21.21.2
19.818.6
Auto12.5
Teleop7.7
End0.9
Second
22.80.1
23.623.8
Auto7.9
Teleop13.4
End1.4
red by 10.4
9400
#37
12.31.2
12.010.8
Auto5.4
Teleop6.4
End0.5
Third
1967
#17
14.30.1
9.89.9
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End1.4
red by 2.4
3482
#30
11.91.2
13.011.8
Auto7.3
Teleop4.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed