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Red8
41598.0
60597.8
7016.5
Blue46
264315.3
25314.4
186813.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2750020406080100846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4159
#44
8.01.7
10.08.3
Auto1.7
Teleop4.8
End1.4
blue by 7.3
2643
#11
15.30.1
13.713.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End0.0
Second
6059
#39
7.81.7
6.34.6
Auto5.7
Teleop2.2
End-0.1
blue by 6.6
253
#22
14.40.1
15.415.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End3.0
Third
701
#43
6.51.7
10.48.7
Auto4.5
Teleop0.7
End1.3
blue by 7.2
1868
#20
13.70.1
13.113.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed