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Red43
397022.8
304520.7
25314.4
Blue23
186813.7
318912.8
107216.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions713902060801001201404323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.81.6
23.822.2
Auto7.9
Teleop13.4
End1.4
red by 6.4
1072
#32
16.41.0
13.712.6
Auto6.9
Teleop7.4
End2.1
Second
3045
#18
20.71.6
21.019.4
Auto8.9
Teleop10.4
End1.4
red by 6.9
1868
#20
13.71.0
13.012.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End1.0
Third
253
#22
14.41.6
15.313.7
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End3.0
red by 1.6
3189
#36
12.81.0
12.010.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed