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Red41
570021.2
91258.2
84617.8
Blue100
228820.0
213527.7
304520.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38740206010012014016041100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.1
18.919.0
Auto12.5
Teleop7.7
End0.9
blue by 6.5
27.71.7
25.527.1
Auto12.0
Teleop13.4
End2.3
Second
846
#41
17.80.1
12.212.3
Auto6.0
Teleop10.1
End1.7
blue by 2.9
3045
#18
20.71.7
19.421.1
Auto8.9
Teleop10.4
End1.4
Third
9125
#31
8.20.1
7.77.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.7
End0.4
blue by 11.8
2288
#12
20.01.7
18.019.7
Auto6.9
Teleop9.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned