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Red36
879310.2
41598.0
91258.2
Blue70
318912.8
641819.2
876819.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2560040801001203670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8793
#19
10.20.0
9.89.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End1.6
blue by 9.7
8768
#27
19.90.5
19.219.8
Auto4.4
Teleop13.5
End2.1
Second
9125
#31
8.20.0
8.68.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.7
End0.4
blue by 11.0
6418
#26
19.20.5
18.619.2
Auto7.4
Teleop10.2
End1.6
Third
4159
#44
8.00.0
7.98.0
Auto1.7
Teleop4.8
End1.4
blue by 4.8
3189
#36
12.80.5
12.212.8
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed