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Red70
527417.8
325715.6
84122.6
Blue74
186813.7
570021.2
661921.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5861203040507080907074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#34
22.60.8
21.121.9
Auto6.3
Teleop15.4
End0.8
red by 1.3
6619
#23
21.30.5
20.821.3
Auto8.4
Teleop11.7
End1.2
Second
5274
#13
17.80.8
17.017.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End1.8
blue by 3.4
21.20.5
20.020.5
Auto12.5
Teleop7.7
End0.9
Third
3257
#33
15.60.8
14.715.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.8
red by 1.8
1868
#20
13.70.5
14.114.6
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned